Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 404.726753 464.275758 531.953075 615.061324 715.049178 832.327709 981.562897
2024-12-15 317.577454 393.067980 487.621413 616.712104 791.482221 1024.541316 1367.048179
2024-12-22 265.738768 344.696190 449.813911 603.557697 828.954302 1157.894066 1695.545332
2024-12-29 234.375087 315.542603 429.033237 604.709791 880.218439 1315.257127 2098.470282
2025-01-05 206.671612 286.470543 402.457794 590.403020 902.008901 1428.039331 2458.907714
2025-01-12 187.491134 266.709324 385.928619 587.348523 939.041852 1571.803332 2919.885970
2025-01-19 165.805133 240.450976 355.754262 556.836049 922.268006 1613.639724 3189.972867
2025-01-26 159.284804 236.653258 360.163972 584.498503 1014.015994 1882.908951 4057.418214
2025-02-02 155.151409 236.007863 369.327087 621.493493 1130.575227 2234.829307 5291.028995
2025-02-09 145.595779 225.396807 360.207205 623.181379 1176.315840 2444.279092 6255.430918
2025-02-16 134.385159 210.925166 342.721996 606.209907 1179.083077 2553.309415 6982.444818
2025-02-23 124.945350 198.662535 327.910498 592.421104 1186.175693 2675.327400 7824.011278
2025-03-02 120.653553 195.244642 329.292935 612.646142 1277.805627 3055.631686 9873.831998
2025-03-09 114.493342 187.983944 322.785239 615.564829 1329.538886 3346.426862 11839.989176
2025-03-16 107.105751 177.856231 309.729588 602.361172 1338.081048 3512.360360 13419.212013
2025-03-23 102.023818 171.563922 303.524590 603.515537 1384.438218 3816.434353 15994.614438
2025-03-30 95.814447 162.676932 291.309435 589.243646 1386.166884 3973.426604 17971.519634
2025-04-06 91.262950 156.610257 284.265035 586.196659 1419.091408 4256.039099 21085.401993
2025-04-13 84.518068 145.867192 266.701046 555.758461 1366.662988 4202.986879 21931.953760
2025-04-20 83.538750 146.287554 272.499056 583.353617 1494.385525 4912.701533 29573.928894
2025-04-27 83.281732 148.099407 281.418709 620.257362 1662.023254 5892.209150 42096.639608
2025-05-04 80.202003 143.991883 277.038893 621.941051 1715.293200 6390.376177 51402.538754
2025-05-11 75.953466 137.226780 266.209749 605.011641 1701.346450 6557.563108 57379.939878